Wednesday, February 17, 2010
Flip a coin
Lake Tahoe Area Weather and Snowpack Information
2/17/10 10:33am
High pressure still dominant over Tahoe today as another warm day plays out. A tease of spring skiing conditions right now as South facing shots have corn (switching to sloppy wet snow by afternoon) and a wintery mix of all sorts of surface conditions on the Northern shots.
Ridge starts to break down tomorrow as Pacific energy from multiple angles beats it up. Problem is the forecast models are changing within 24hr time spans right now, so as for a solid forecast of what might happen in the next few days is anyone's guess. My best impersonation of a weather guy tells me that Tahoe will see light/ moderate precip Friday->Saturday, and maybe into Sunday. Snow levels will be ~6000' or lower. H2O forecast shows ~.75" over the next five days. 6-10" along the TSC between Friday night and Sunday seems reasonable with the lack of confidence moving forward.
So the weekend is a crap shoot, although it will be cooler and cloudier than the past few days. As for next week, the models used to show a train of storms impacting CA, but now models are divergent and the MJO has fizzled.
I have to wait another day and see if the models come back in line, or NWS Reno/ Sacto can figure out with a better brain what might occur. Regardless, it looks like El Nino is still holding tight to the Southern Pacific Jet as it continues to be aimed at Socal/ Baja. Stay tuned, Winter is not over yet!
-PWG
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Current NWS Lake Tahoe Forecast
Lake Tahoe Backcountry Forecast
Lake Tahoe Recreational Forecast
Wind Chill Chart
Forecast Links:
National Weather Service Reno
National Weather Service Sacramento
NWS Reno Discussion
NWS Sacramento Discussion
Radar:
Intellicast Reno
Intellicast San Francisco
PacNW
PacSW
Satellite Imagery:
4km IR Loop
16km IR Loop
Central California 1km Visible
GOES-W 12hr WV
GOES NA 24hr WV
Precipitable Water Loop
Past Week's Estimated Precipitation Totals
Forecasting Tools:
Day 1 QPF
Day 2 QPF
Day 3 QPF
Day 4-5 QPF
5 Day Total QPF
California Nevada River Forecast Center
300mb Jetstream Loop
NCEP & HPC Loops Page
Pennsylvania State University Electronic Map Wall
CPC 6-10 Day Outlook
CPC 8-14 Day Outlook
Remote Data:
NWS Reno Local Mountain Remote Data
NWS Surface Observations
Tahoe City
NASA/JPL-UCD Buoys
Truckee Airport
Central Sierra Snow Lab
Sugar Bowl
Squaw Valley GC
Ward Creek
Rubicon
Sonora Pass
Virginia Lakes
Mammoth Mountain Main Lodge
Mammoth Mountain Summit
Reno Airport
Snow Data:
Sierra Avalanche Center
Sierra Avalanche Center Snowpit Profiles and Field Observations
Snowpit Profile Key
Eastern Sierra Avalanche Center
Avalanche.org
California Department of Water Resources
California Snotel Sites
Snotel Narrative
NOAA NOHRSC Interactive Snow Information
NWS Snowpack Analysis
Donner Summit Snowfall History
Brought to you by http://www.porterstahoe.com/
2/17/10 10:33am
High pressure still dominant over Tahoe today as another warm day plays out. A tease of spring skiing conditions right now as South facing shots have corn (switching to sloppy wet snow by afternoon) and a wintery mix of all sorts of surface conditions on the Northern shots.
Ridge starts to break down tomorrow as Pacific energy from multiple angles beats it up. Problem is the forecast models are changing within 24hr time spans right now, so as for a solid forecast of what might happen in the next few days is anyone's guess. My best impersonation of a weather guy tells me that Tahoe will see light/ moderate precip Friday->Saturday, and maybe into Sunday. Snow levels will be ~6000' or lower. H2O forecast shows ~.75" over the next five days. 6-10" along the TSC between Friday night and Sunday seems reasonable with the lack of confidence moving forward.
So the weekend is a crap shoot, although it will be cooler and cloudier than the past few days. As for next week, the models used to show a train of storms impacting CA, but now models are divergent and the MJO has fizzled.
I have to wait another day and see if the models come back in line, or NWS Reno/ Sacto can figure out with a better brain what might occur. Regardless, it looks like El Nino is still holding tight to the Southern Pacific Jet as it continues to be aimed at Socal/ Baja. Stay tuned, Winter is not over yet!
-PWG
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Current NWS Lake Tahoe Forecast
Lake Tahoe Backcountry Forecast
Lake Tahoe Recreational Forecast
Wind Chill Chart
Forecast Links:
National Weather Service Reno
National Weather Service Sacramento
NWS Reno Discussion
NWS Sacramento Discussion
Radar:
Intellicast Reno
Intellicast San Francisco
PacNW
PacSW
Satellite Imagery:
4km IR Loop
16km IR Loop
Central California 1km Visible
GOES-W 12hr WV
GOES NA 24hr WV
Precipitable Water Loop
Past Week's Estimated Precipitation Totals
Forecasting Tools:
Day 1 QPF
Day 2 QPF
Day 3 QPF
Day 4-5 QPF
5 Day Total QPF
California Nevada River Forecast Center
300mb Jetstream Loop
NCEP & HPC Loops Page
Pennsylvania State University Electronic Map Wall
CPC 6-10 Day Outlook
CPC 8-14 Day Outlook
Remote Data:
NWS Reno Local Mountain Remote Data
NWS Surface Observations
Tahoe City
NASA/JPL-UCD Buoys
Truckee Airport
Central Sierra Snow Lab
Sugar Bowl
Squaw Valley GC
Ward Creek
Rubicon
Sonora Pass
Virginia Lakes
Mammoth Mountain Main Lodge
Mammoth Mountain Summit
Reno Airport
Snow Data:
Sierra Avalanche Center
Sierra Avalanche Center Snowpit Profiles and Field Observations
Snowpit Profile Key
Eastern Sierra Avalanche Center
Avalanche.org
California Department of Water Resources
California Snotel Sites
Snotel Narrative
NOAA NOHRSC Interactive Snow Information
NWS Snowpack Analysis
Donner Summit Snowfall History
Brought to you by http://www.porterstahoe.com/
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